First Year QB Brings Uncertainty

I've found that thinking about the upcoming football season helps get my mind off that unmentionable game in January. Sure, the new season is still months away but there are enough questions to fill that time-gap and then some.

Unlike last year, the 2007 campaign will yield a wide ranging difference of opinion amongst faithful and the so-called experts. The defense returns almost intact, but what about that offense? It lost two receivers to the first round of the NFL Draft, another in the fifth and a signal caller who won the Heisman. And, it's precisely the quarterback spot that is most critical.

First Year QB Graphic

If history is any indication, we can expect erratic performances from our new first year quarterback. (By the way, when I say “first year” QB, I mean one who is starting for the first time presumably for the entire season. A single game start here or there doesn’t factor when it’s obvious the start was a temporary substitution.) Krenzel broke the mold by winning the national championship but his statistical performance was run-of-the-mill. Zwick was, lets say, inconsistent with an immature team and Troy had the luxury of splitting time the year before he had full reigns. None of them wowed you with their individual output, aside from Troy (and all he did was eventually win the most prestigious award in the sport the following year). A unique talent, let's say.

Smith now gives way to a group of players with shockingly little experience. Anyone of Todd Boeckman, Robbie Schoenhoft, Antonio Henton and even newcomer Joe Bauserman could win the starting nod. None have sniffed a meaningful snap in a game, however Boeckman appears to have the cleanest path to the top spot. He has been with the program seemingly since the Teapot Dome Scandal, laboring in the wings for his shot. His command of the offense is solid and he's had years of tutelage learning to breakdown opposing defenses. Essentially, he has what the others don't and that's time (years) in the program. What he doesn't do is knock your socks off with impressive physical attributes. He’s no Troy Smith in terms of arm strength and escapability but Boeckman does possess prototypical size and excellent pedigree.

No matter who the quarterback ends up being, we simply can't expect the statistical production we've been accustomed to. The past has shown it takes time to chisel away freight and inexperience. Teams usually have to grow with their new QB. If I were forced to guess, I'd say this coming year will be a lot like 2004 in both QB production and final record. But, hey, sometimes you catch lightning in a bottle and if not, there's aways next year.